My Favorite Value Plays this week are:
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (NYJ) (vs. Colts)
Garbage time isn’t pretty to watch but Blake Bortles over the last two seasons is proof that it can create great fantasy production. This week the Jets will play the Colts 31st rank pass defense and a rather hot offense assuming Luck is under center. Fitzpatrick could make some mistakes but expect him to get a ton of yards in this game and likely a few TDs with that garbage time potential.
RB Spencer Ware (KC) (vs. Falcons)
Ware is one of the most overdue players for a TD given his workload. Although regression to the mean acts over the course of a time period and not the next upcoming individual week; the Falcons’ inability to stop the RB position, especially through the air, is enough to confidently play Ware and expect this to be the week that he makes it into the end zone.
WR Sammy Watkins (BUF) (vs. Raiders)
Watkins was a on a snap count last game playing only 45% of total snaps, yet he still recorded 80yds. This week the Bills will be without Robert Woods, Percy Harvin, and possibly Charles Clay (Game-time decision). If Watkins’ snap count increases as expected he could be in for a massive performance.
Below is the Average Opponents Defensive Rank Per Position for the Playoff Weeks of 14,15, and 16. (Standard League Scoring)
The players are listed in order based on the appeal of schedule (i.e. higher number is better)
| QB | RB | ||||||
| Rivers | SD | 26.66 | Stewart | CAR | 27.66 | ||
| Siemian/Lynch | DEN | 24 | Hill | CIN | 27.66 | ||
| Fitzpatrick | NYJ | 23 | McCoy | BUF | 24.33 | ||
| Carr | OAK | 22.66 | Gurley | LA | 23 | ||
| Goff | LA | 22.33 | Hyde | SF | 22 | ||
| Ryan | ATL | 21.66 | Miller | HOU | 21.33 | ||
| Barkley | CHI | 21.66 | Crowell | CLE | 21.33 | ||
| Newton | CAR | 20.66 | Murray | OAK | 21 | ||
| Bradford | MIN | 20.66 | Gordon | SD | 19.66 | ||
| Manning | NYG | 20.66 | Martin | TB | 19.66 | ||
| Osweiler | HOU | 20.33 | McKinnon/Asiata | MIN | 19.33 | ||
| Winston | TB | 19.66 | Forte | NYJ | 19 | ||
| Kaepernick | SF | 19 | Ware | KC | 19 | ||
| Taylor | BUF | 18.33 | Freeman/Coleman | ATL | 18.33 | ||
| Smith | KC | 18 | Gore | IND | 18 | ||
| Romo | DAL | 16.33 | Murray | TEN | 17.33 | ||
| Cousins | WAS | 16 | Dixon/West | BAL | 16.66 | ||
| McCown/RG3 | CLE | 15 | Johnson | ARI | 16 | ||
| Dalton | CIN | 14 | Howard | CHI | 15.33 | ||
| Brees | NO | 14 | Ingram/Hightower | NO | 14 | ||
| Stafford | DET | 14 | Sproles/Mathews | PHI | 13.66 | ||
| Palmer | ARI | 13.66 | Blount | NE | 13.66 | ||
| Roethlisberger | PIT | 13 | Ivory/Yeldon | JAC | 13.33 | ||
| Flacco | BAL | 12.66 | Elliot | DAL | 13 | ||
| Wilson | SEA | 12.33 | Bell | PIT | 12.66 | ||
| Wentz | PHI | 11.66 | Rawls | SEA | 12 | ||
| Luck | IND | 11.33 | Ajayi | MIA | 11.66 | ||
| Mariota | TEN | 11.33 | Booker | DEN | 11 | ||
| Tannehill | MIA | 9.33 | Riddick | DET | 7.66 | ||
| Bortles | JAC | 8.66 | Starks | GB | 7 | ||
| Rodgers | GB | 8 | Kelley | WAS | 6.33 | ||
| Brady | NE | 7.33 | Jennings | NYG | 5.66 | ||
| WR | TE | ||||||
| Jones/Sanu | ATL | 25.66 | Gates/Henry | SD | 28.33 | ||
| Crowder/Garcon/Jackson | WAS | 25.33 | CHI | 27 | |||
| Williams | SD | 24.33 | Clay | BUF | 24.66 | ||
| Thomas/Sanders | DEN | 23 | Witten | DAL | 22.66 | ||
| Cooper/Crabtree | OAK | 21.66 | Olsen | CAR | 21.33 | ||
| Kerley | SF | 21.33 | Fiedorowicz | HOU | 20.66 | ||
| Britt/Austin | LA | 19.66 | Tye | NYG | 20.33 | ||
| Jones/Tate | DET | 19.66 | Rudolph | MIN | 19.66 | ||
| Marshall/Enunwa | NYJ | 18.66 | Eifert | CIN | 19 | ||
| Diggs | MIN | 18.66 | Ebron | DET | 18.66 | ||
| Hill/Maclin | KC | 18.33 | Brate | TB | 18.66 | ||
| Beckham/Shepard | NYG | 18 | Barnidge | CLE | 17.66 | ||
| Meredith/Wilson | CHI | 17 | Kelce | KC | 17.33 | ||
| Evans | TB | 16.33 | Hooper | ATL | 17 | ||
| Baldwin | SEA | 16.33 | McDonald | SF | 17 | ||
| Edelman | NE | 16.33 | Kendricks | LA | 17 | ||
| Benjamin | CAR | 16 | Gresham | ARI | 17 | ||
| Matthews | PHI | 16 | Reed/Davis | WAS | 14.66 | ||
| Watkins | BUF | 15.66 | Doyle/Allen | IND | 14.66 | ||
| Landry/Parker | MIA | 15.33 | Ertz | PHI | 14.33 | ||
| Thomas/Cooks/Snead | NO | 14.66 | Green | PIT | 14.33 | ||
| Brown | PIT | 13 | Walford | OAK | 14 | ||
| Matthews | TEN | 13 | NYJ | 14 | |||
| Bryant/Beasley | DAL | 12.66 | Fleener | NO | 13 | ||
| Fitzgerald/Floyd | ARI | 12.33 | Thomas | JAC | 12.66 | ||
| Nelson/Adams/Cobb | GB | 12 | Cook | GB | 12 | ||
| Robinson/Hurns/Lee | JAC | 11.66 | Graham | SEA | 11.33 | ||
| Boyd/LaFell | CIN | 11.33 | Bennett | NE | 9.66 | ||
| Smith Sr./Wallace | BAL | 11 | Pitta | BAL | 9.66 | ||
| Hopkins | HOU | 10.66 | DEN | 9.33 | |||
| Pryor | CLE | 10 | MIA | 9.33 | |||
| Hilton/Moncrief | IND | 9.66 | Walker | TEN | 7.33 | ||
| D/ST | |
| DEN | 26 |
| SEA | 25 |
| NE | 24.33 |
| NO | 22.66 |
| MIN | 21.66 |
| HOU | 21.33 |
| SF | 21.33 |
| CIN | 20.66 |
| WAS | 20.66 |
| SD | 20.33 |
| TEN | 20 |
| JAC | 19.33 |
| OAK | 18.33 |
| GB | 17.66 |
| CHI | 16.33 |
| ATL | 15.33 |
| CLE | 15 |
| ARI | 15 |
| LA | 14 |
| IND | 13.33 |
| KC | 12.66 |
| PIT | 12.66 |
| BUF | 12 |
| DAL | 12 |
| CAR | 11.66 |
| PHI | 11.66 |
| DET | 11.33 |
| MIA | 11 |
| NYJ | 10.33 |
| TB | 9.66 |
| BAL | 6.66 |
| NYG | 6.33 |
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